Tuesday, September 13, 2005

Ask The Experts

Welcome to another edition of "Ask The Experts." We have three new experts with us, who are apart of the LOCKERROOM family. Let's have a look at them, shall we?

Dr. Hao Long D.D.S
The man who performed Jamal Lewis' root canal, and noted dentist to the stars. He was born in Japan, but moved to California when it was discovered that all Asians must live in California at one time or another. He is also part owner in a clocks and oral pain relief themed store called "Tooth hurty." His other famous clients include: Michael Strahan, Dakota Fanning, and all of Great Britian.

Lil' Stabby McShanksalot
The hottest rapper out right now, who is blowing up the charts with his hit single "Hit the Bitch in the Face with a Tire Iron," off his his first CD entitled "Tryin' not to Get Killed, or Die Tryin.'" McShanksalot grew up on the mean streets of Poverty town, which was renamed "Detroit" during the Taft-Sherman administration.

Bill "Last Place" Sullivan
The worst fantasy football player of all-time. "Last Place" has not finished better than last place in any league. His recent 1st round draft picks include: Ricky Williams, Eddie George, Lamar Smith, James Stewart, & Kordell Stewart. The problem is he all drafted them the year their stats took a significant plunge, or they briefly retired to travel the world with Mary Jane.



Now on to the mailbag:

I have Willie Parker in a keeper league, and was wondering whether I should trade him now, or hold on to him. What do you guys think?
-Clancy W. Tulsa, Ok


HL- This is an easy one, keep him. This could very well be the bus' last year, and Duce is a crown of his former self (a little dental humor), so within a year or two, I wouldn't be suprised to see Parker fill the Michael Strahan sized gap that will be left in Pittburgh's backfield.

SMc- You must be trippin', bruh. You really need to ask dis? Trade his ass now before he da greyhound is back in bidness. Once da bus is back on da highway, ain't no tellin' how much time Willie will see.

BS- Trade him of course! I have already picked up Verron Hayes in all my leagues, because he is a flat out better back than Parker, and will take his job this week during practice. Count on it.



OMGRZZZ!!!! Daunte Culpepper sucked last week! I just got offered Gus Ferotte and Larry Johnson for him. Should I accept?
Greg T. St. Pete, Fl


HL- If you're considering doing this, a dentist isn't the doctor you need to be talking to. Daunte is still Daunte, and, well, Gus Ferotte is still Gus Ferotte. You're an idot.

SMc- Yo son, you best stay away from Johnson. I saw him at da club saturday night before da game, and he was gettin' messed up. Sad part was, he wasn't even gettin' no play from the chickenhead he was hollerin' at. I wonder what ended up happenin' with that...

BS- Do it! Week one is always a good indication of how the season will turn out. I have already traded away Culpepper, Donovan McNabb, Jamal Lewis, & Andre Johnson off my various teams. I still will never understand how I got my nickname...



Which 3 WR/TE should I start this week, with my main WR Javon Walker out? Antonio Gates (@Den), Nate Burleson (@Cin), Lee Evans (@TB) Antwan Randel El (@Hou), Chris Baker (@MIA). Thanx, you guys are the best.
Jimbo Fairfield, NJ


HL- I would go with Antonio Gates (who I like to refer to as "Pearly Whites") in his first game back. Then follow that up with Nate Burleson, who will rebound this week, and Antwan Randle El, who becomes very valuable with teams doubling Ward.

SMc- Gotta go with my boyyyyyyyys, Randle El, Evans, and Burleson. They all showed up at my album release party. Didn't get to thank dem because of all the gunshots, but dey my dawgs.

BS- Chris Baker for sure, and trade the rest to get Patrick Crayton, and Frisman Jackson. I'm so smart!!!

Monday, September 12, 2005

Monday Morning Waterback

Aaaaaah - does it get any better than this?! Multiple screens, 47 remotes, laptop with streaming results by my side....football season is here. With the relish of a 6yo who just got his school supplies for the new year, I settle in to the blissful anticipation and somehow perfect order of the season's first multi-game action. Some dig the face-painting, beer-sucking, fist-shaking, standing & sitting like a spastic nun pleasures of being there, but i'm a fantasy football fan - gimme the do-i-have-him?, aw-i-BENCHED-that-2TD-scoring-TE, rooting-for-a-team-down-24-0-to-score-so-the-opposition-dont-rest-their-starters maelstrom only a guy who knows Adimchinobe Echemandu's alma mater can appreciate. Baby, it's back!

If I saw a trend today, it was too many plays & substitutions. If the season's first game aint the time to find a groove upon which to build variations, I don't know when that time is. Throw 19 cans of fruit cocktail into the Jello & it won't set, fellas. One can expand upon simplicity & competence a lot better than one can contract from the complex. Put down the wristbands with the New Testament written on em & let these boys play some ball, for crissakes.

OK, let's look at some games:

WASH 9 - CHI 7: Who thought Nick & Jessica's murderization of patriotic tunes would be the highlight of this'n? Well, actually, I did - having predicted a scoreless tie on the boards. Man, Pat Ramsey has to be football's unluckiest guy - a rookie season of unholy sackings, sophomore year trying to convince your football-genius coach that you don't suck dead bones.....ok, third year's a charm...looking cool...acting sharp...finally feelin comfy at the contr...BOOOOM, lets bounce his head off the turf til Jessica appears to have more teats than a pregnant cat & the wearing of hog noses & dresses starts to make sense.... Thought: Clinton Portis may be my favorite player. Always runt of the litter at The U but always puttin em over the top; afterthought who proves to be the best open-field runner in ball at Denver; putting on unnatural weight to help Gibbsy relive his manlove for Riggo; a name that sounds more like a female body part than any of Seinfeld's girlfriends...you deserve better, buddy. Finally (and who thought i'd have this much to say about such an awful game), Kyle Orton mighta been a good QB, but the PTSD from starting out of the gate has ruined better than he. Gotta HATE the Lovie!

KC 27 - NYJ 7: Let's buy a drink for whoever announced on Fanball that he was starting Priest AND LJ....genius!! The D shot the gaps & the O tried reeeeal hard not to score on every play....look out, world - its gonna take a lot to beat the Chiefs this season. Penny starts the looong list of QBs that sucked more than JPLosman.

JAX 26 - SEA 14: There may be rookies who end up with better #s than Matt Jones, but there will be no rookie who has a greater impact on his team's offensive success. The sets, shifts, motions & options they ran in Wonderhonky's debut had the Seasucks positively dizzy. Del Rio expands on this & da Cats go far.

CIN 27 - CLE 13: Finally - a team the Queen City can be proud of that DOESN'T have Cris Collinsworth on it! I can not imagine a better move than Marv's sittin Rudi for the start of this one. He meant bidness, his team meant bidness...verrry professional effort. With turnarounds like those happening in CIN & JAX, the disparity between AFC & NFC is just gonna be sick this season.

NO 23 - CAR 20: Somebody get Jake-not-Snake a Jetski, a jetpack, a Jet's cheerleader, summin that takes the thrill-junkie outta him. He actually looks like is playin for the nailbiting finish now. Well, sometimes you da windshield, boy, and sometimes you da bug. Can't imagine a better morale-booster for the unfortunate city of Nawlins short of the public execution of Tom Benson. Oh, and, btw, Coach Fox - trash the RBBC. There's only one back in your committee makes that offense sing....wait for it....Nick Goings.

BUF 22 - HOU 7: I can save time & column space by here listing the QBs who sucked worse than JPLosman: Pennington, Dilfer, Carr, Orton, Griese, C-Pep. Favre, Brees, Warner, Eli. And check out this list of some who played better: Bledsoe, Joey, Rattay, Frerotte, Ruthlessbergerfrickle. Weird game, aint it?.... Dom Capers should never be allowed to coach more than two years anywhere. He can make bad players play good, but hasn't a clue how to take honest talent to the next level. The Texans went into full-blown panic down 9-0 early 2nd quarter. Even against a badmammajamma D like the Bills have, that's shameful.

PGH 34 - TENN 7: The Titan's may have the worst defense in recent memory. Combine that with their overplaying of Hines Ward & you have the stone lousiest performance in Titan history. Wait one more game before putting Willie Parker in the HOF, btw.

TB 24 - MINN 13: Brian Griese began his 2nd-yr regression right on time, Caddy almost gave up after spending the 1st half tryin to hit holes smaller than a pitboss' heart & the Bucs still made Minny look mini. If Mewelde or Ciatrick (baby's book of names allstars) dont upgrade that running game, they're gonna hafta go Vince-Young-shotgun or summin. And thank you, Eric Johnson - had Alex Smith as your backup on two teams.

MIA 34 - DEN 10: Only the Titan defense had a worse day than the Denver offense. Not a Bronco-sized hole to run thru all day, but that didnt stop Jake the Fake from runnin uglyass play-actions all freakin day. Phins played a spirited game for their new leader, but that is one sorry o-line you got there, Nicky. Don't order your playoff tix yet, PhinPhans.

DAL 28 - SD 24: Here in New Mexico, we get all the Cowboy games and, every preseason, they have one WR outta nowhere who lights the place up (Reggie Swinton, Randal Williams) then settles back to the pack. Patrick Crayton may be f'real, tho. Gimme another week & I'll tell ya if he's worth a dynasty claim. And its always nice to watch Bledsoe play before the battle fatigue sets in. Chargers did nothing to refute my selection of them as back-where-u-belong franchise for '05.

DET 17 - GB 3: EEYEWWWWWWWWWWWW!!!

NYG 42 - ARIZ 19: I don't follow college football, but Cal-Berkeley musta had a hella roadgrading o-line last yr, cuz I've seen most of JJArrington's carries so far this season (exhib +) & have yet to see him hit a hole like he's done it before. That & the lapses that always seem to befall DGreen-coached teams, could undermine a team with a number of exciting athletes. Eli looked better, but how could he not.

IND 24 - BAL 7: Kinda thought the Indy defense was in trouble, with two major acquisitions late in the preseason, but I guess Dungy knew what he was doing. Tellya, last night's D with last year's O is one scary thought. And, nothin against Boller, but how can you NOT want a guy named awright runnin your team.

Well, I've barely even looked to see how my nine fantasy teams did. Plenty of time for that - I'll have them all (and their opponents) memorized by Week 4. The BirdsO'Prey Bowl looks like it'll be fun tonite, although I'm sure the MNF crew will WAY o'erplay the TO-DMac thang. Later, kiddies...play hard -

Sunday, September 11, 2005

Walker out for season with torn ACL

You guys have probably heard this already...but WOW! Talk about huge news for fantasy owners around the country only 1 week into the season (and also horrible news for huge Pack fans like myself....need to change my name to '07 now, ugh.)

If this is true, clearly the fantasy values of Driver, Ahman and Longwell all increase, Longwell could end up a top kicker for the entire season since the Pack figure to get to the 30yd line and stall all season long now. Ahman will become even more of a focal point and Driver becomes Favre's main guy. Last time Driver was the #1 I believe he has 1,100 and 9TDs, so not too shabby...

All in all, this most likely leaves several teams without their #1 FF WR....If you need some hot pickups, don't overlook guys like Plax, Santana Moss (96 yds this sunday, quietly), and Randle- el (deep threat now for big ben?)...there are others but those were just 3 I could see somehow not being drafted or easy to trade for from some owner stockpiled with WR....

Goodnight from this disappointed Packers fan.

WETBOAT'S SUNDAY MUSINGS

This is my first Sunday column as the official Webmaster of LOCKERROOM. When Wikkidpissah (who I affectionately call Dogface Fishpizza) asked me to contribute my fantasy football expertise with an article in LOCKERROOM, I sent him a couple of draft articles to go over. Needless to say, he was very unimpressed, and docked me to the least desirable slot in the lineup: Sunday morning, when all of youse fantasy football experts have already made most of your choices and plan to sit back on your armchairs with beer in hand and a bag of chips on the other, in front of your newly bought 52-inch plasma TV’s. He specifically instructed me not to offer any fantasy football recommendations, and stick to maintaining the LOCKERROOM website. I reluctantly accepted his marching orders.

My task, then, is to bring a measure of dignity to this lowly slot in the bigger scheme of the LOCKERROOM universe, by taking potshots and offering sarcasm on the current goings-on in the National Football League and sports in general.

Here are my random observations of the NFL as the first Sunday of the season rolls around:

1. The Giants have an extra home game this season against the luckless New Orleans Saints. Bill Parcells, a rival NFC East coach, groused, “I’d be smart not to comment on that.” This is the uncensored version of what he really said:



2. Terrell Owens told the media, “I love Donovan.” Awwwwww. While he’s at it, how about sharing the same feelings with Philadelphia fans who have grown tired of his own tortured explanations about how he deserves to be one of the highest paid wide receivers in the NFL, if not the highest? He griped about his role with the 49ers and wanted out, and hired an agent who he believed would look out for his interests in the best way possible. When the agent, David Joseph, screwed up the paperwork that would have declared T.O. a free agent, and the 49ers shopped him off to Baltimore in a trade, he started bellyaching and wanted to go to a better team. He got his wish, but not the contract he wanted.

You know, you don’t see him getting any major marketing endorsements. If he was just a little bit nicer and more diplomatic, he would’ve started earning millions of dollars from those endorsements, and become a little quieter about his comparatively modest NFL paycheck. But because Nike or Reebok or Pepsi won’t lay a shoe or cola near him, most of his eggs are practically in the NFL basket, so we can understand his nervousness about getting his fair share of the money, because he simply won’t get the bucks anywhere else.

The way he picked David Joseph, and how he attempted to defend him after the paperwork screwup, tells me that I would never want T.O. to be my boss, no matter how many millions of dollars he would throw at me. He’s just not a very good manager, period. I’d be spending more time trying to manage him than the other way around.

Team players get paid well for their work. Great leaders who know how to manage and inspire get paid quite as well. On the other hand, lone wolves don’t get the same kind of compensation.

Good luck, T.O. Honestly, I really want you to do well this season, because I have Donovan McNabb in my squirrel-eyed fantasy league.

3. Brett Favre is nuts. I mean it in a good way. He lost his father and brother-in-law, his wife is battling breast cancer, and now his house in Mississippi – where he spent his childhood and still owns the ranch -- got blown down by a hurricane. At his age, when he has achieved all he has set out to do in the NFL, including a Super Bowl title, countless records, and the love and admiration he deserves not only in Green Bay but across the country, I would have just moved on and focused on family and the future, and taken care of urgent priorities like an ill wife and a destroyed house. What’s incredible about Favre is not that he has the pluck and the moxie to go right on ahead and start a brand new NFL season, not that he has the support and admiration of the Wisconsin faithful, but because his family has truly supported him in his decisions along the way, and will support him in every way possible in what might be the most challenging season of his career.

4. I love listening to Mike Tice’s comments. I’m not sure I’ve ever seen a less qualified NFL head coach, and every time I listen to him at a press conference, I just start laughing. As a public service, I’ve found some quotations on the Web that are attributed to him, and provide them here without comment:

“I thought last week’s game was ugly and this was even uglier.”

“It’s a shame anyone had to lose that. What a great rivalry.”

“We thought we had the ball. I guess we didn’t have the ball. That was just a myth.”

5. The New Orleans Saints – bless their hearts – are facing a season no team has ever faced. I hesitate to put down a prediction on how well they will do in 2005, because this really depends on how the coach can rally the troops and inspire them to keep winning game in and game out during what is practically an all-road season, when some of their players are dealing with the fact they may have lost their own homes. It will be truly amazing if they can make it all the way to the Super Bowl this year, but I will pencil them for an incredible season if they finish 8-8. You heard it here first.

Onward, cavalry!

Saturday, September 10, 2005

On The Hash... Marks

Before I get started, I would like to pass along this announcement: Will a D. Wannstedt please report to Lucifer's office for a "soul-selling renewal" application. Thank you.

Now with that out of the way, I would like to introduce you to "On The Hash... Marks" A little college football, a little double entendre, everybody is happy! let's move on to my new top 25 poll:

1. USC (1-0)
Last week- (#1) W 63-17 @ Hawaii
This week- Idle

2. Texas (1-0)
Last week- (#2) W 60-3 vs Louisiana-Lafayette
This week- @ #4 Ohio St.

3. LSU (1-0)
Last week- (#5) Ppd. vs North Texas
This week- @ #15 Arizona St.

4. Ohio State (1-0)
Last week- (#8) W 34-14 vs Miami (OH)
This week- vs #2 Texas

5. Michigan (1-0)
Last week- (#3) W 33-17 vs Northern Illinois
This week- vs #20 Notre Dame

6. Tennessee (1-0)
Last week- (#4) W 17-10 vs UAB
This week- Idle

7. Virginia Tech (1-0)
Last week- (#6) W 20-16 @ NC State
This week- vs Duke

8. Georgia (1-0)
Last week- (#16) W 48-13 vs Boise St.
This week- vs South Carolina

9. Iowa (1-0)
Last week- (#11) W 56-0 vs Ball St.
This Week- @ Iowa St.

10. Purdue (0-0)
Last week- (#13) Idle
This week- vs Akron

11. FSU (1-0)
Last week- (#12) W 10-7 vs #16 Miami
This week- vs Citadel

12. Boston College (1-0)
Last week- (#14) W 20-3 @ BYU
This week- vs Army

13. Florida (1-0)
Last week- (#15) W 32-14 vs Wyoming
This week- vs Louisiana Tech

14. Louisville (1-0)
Last week- (#10) W 31-24 @ Kentucky
This week- Idle

15. Arizona St. (1-0)
Last week- (#17) W 63-16 vs Temple
This week- vs #3 LSU

16. Miami (0-1)
Last week- (#7) L 7-10 @ FSU
This week- Idle

17. Georgia Tech (1-0)
Last week- (Unr) W 23-14 @ Auburn
This week- vs North Carolina

18. Texas Tech (0-0)
Last week- (#20) Idle
This week- vs FIU

19. Notre Dame (1-0)
Last week- (Unr) W 42-21 @ Pittsburgh
This week- @ #5 Michigan


20. Virginia (1-0)
Last week- (#21) W 31-19 vs Western Michigan
This week- Idle

21. Alabama (1-0)
Last week- (#19) W 26-7 vs MTSU
This week- vs Southern Miss

22. California (1-0)
Last week- (Unr) W 41-3 vs Sacramento St.
This week- @ Washington

23. TCU (1-0)
Last week- (Unr) W 17-10 @ #25 Oklahoma
This week- @ SMU

24. Clemson (1-0)
Last week- (Unr) W 25-24 vs Texas A&M
This week- @ Maryland

25. Oklahoma (0-1)
Last week- (#9) L 10-17 vs TCU
This week- vs Tulsa


So LSU & Ohio St. move up, taking Tennesee & Michigan's spots. Georgia's performance shoots them up into the top 10, and Purdue moves up by default. Clemson, TCU, California, Notre Dame, and Georgia Tech all make their 1st appearance in the top 25, while Auburn, Texas A&M, Boise St, Pitt, and UCLA (who deserves to still be in it) all were on their way out.


Now for my Heisman candidates, which we will be calling "5 for '05."

1. Matt Leinart QB USC
18-24 332 yds 3TD's 1 INT
This week's projection- Idle

2. Reggie Bush RB USC
12 car 86 yds 2 TD's
4 rec 58 yds
This week's projection- Idle

3. Vince Young QB Texas
13-17 173 yds 3TD's 1INT
7 car 49 yds 1TD
This week's projection- 10-21 130 yds 1TD; 10 car 55 yds 1TD

4. Laurence Maroney RB Minnesota (+)
21 car 203 yds 2TD's
This weeks projection- 25 car 145 yds 2TD's

5. Omar Jacobs QB Bowling Green (+)
30-51 458 yds 5TD 1INT
This week's projection- 39-48 485 yds 4TD's

Just missed the cut- Chris Leak QB Florida, Brian Calhoun RB Wisconsin, Ted Ginn WR/KR Ohio St, Drew Tate QB Iowa, Michael Hart RB Michigan


Nothing really out of the ordinary. Even in a loss, I think Jacobs' performance opened up some eyes, and if they can go 9-1 the rest of the way, he may have a chance. How about Brian Calhoun? Anthony Davis who? Michael Bennett who? Ron Dayne whoooooo???? Ok, so maybe not quite that good, but very impressive.



Now for my picks, which I completely bungled last week going 0-5-1, I will now be predicting all the games for the teams which I have in my top 25 each week. Enjoy:

Tulsa +30 Oklahoma
They lose to TCU, their superstar running back is injured, they've kicked 2 offensive lineman off the team, and the young stud QB was arrested for underage drinking. Bob Stoops may kill someone if OU doesn't score on the opening drive. I'm being dead serious here, you do not want to be anywhere near him on the sideline if OU struggles even the slightest bit out of the gate. They win, but not by 30.

Oklahoma 30 Tulsa 13

Maryland -1 Clemson
Clemson won against the Aggies last week on the strength of there kickers foot, and their inability to finish drives with a touchdown worries me. Coming off a big win, I think they go on the road and lose a tough one to a decent Maryland team.

Maryland 21 Clemson 17

TCU -15 SMU
Umm... Does SMU still have Eric Dickerson? Ah what the hell, just go with TCU!

TCU 24 SMU 6

Alabama -13 Southern Miss
Some people are worried by Bama's performance last week against Middle Tennessee State (Yes, it's a real college!) but I'm banking on it just being first game jitters. They did score 17 of their 26 points in the 2nd half, and the rushing game seemed to wake up then. Brodie Croyle played well last week, and look for that to continue. Besides the fact, The Tides D could win this game by themselves.

Alabama 26 Southern Miss 9

Texas Tech -34.5 FIU
Quick, anybody know the record for most points scored in a game? Welcome to D-1 football, FIU.

Texas Tech 109 FIU 2

Georgia Tech -12.5 North Carolina
Has the prophecy of Reggie Ball finally come true?!?!?!? Maybe (probably not) but they'll still win this one. I think we can all start talking about Calvin Johnson being the best WR in college football bar none. (bar none? Who the hell am I, Trev Alberts? Speaking of which, how you enjoying collecting welfare Trev? Goooooo Huskers!)

Georgia Tech 34 North Carolina 14

Florida -29.5 Louisiana Tech
All I can say is thank god Louisiana Tech isn't playing Miami.... (ouch...too soon?)

Florida 38 Louisiana Tech 7

Boston College -27.5 Army
BC really impressed me last week, putting up a strong effort against a solid BYU team (which BTW I was forced to watch instead of my beloved maze & blue). Obviously Army has no chance to win, but it's nice they let them on the same field with Boston College.

Boston College 38 Army 3

FSU (no line) The Citadel
This game is important for FSU to see if either of the QB's emerge, and to get them some confidence. All I remember about monday night's game is seeing Kyle Wright drive the ball down the field, then look up and see Lorenzo Booker running like a madman around the stadium in celebration. I think a field goal was involved, but I'm still not positive.

FSU 55 The Citadel who cares?

Purdue -35 Akron
Purdue could be scary this year in the Big Ten. Unless Brandon Kirsch has a Kyle Orton-like collapse down the stretch,-.... Ah hell, I don't have the balls to pick them as the Big Ten champs, so I'll just shut up.

Purdue 48 Akron 0

Iowa -8.5 Iowa St.
This is my toughest game to pick this week. I really like Iowa St. and picked them to win the Big 12 North. However, I can't go against the Hawkeyes, because I know Drew Tate will have a great game, but I'm not positive Bret Meyer will. Hodge, Greenway, and the usual cast of characters will want a win against the Cyclones to close out their career.

Iowa 28 Iowa St. 16

Virginia Tech -20 Duke
Let's get something straight. I will, from now on, be referring to Marcus Vick as Krister Greece, in honor of his brothers Ron Mexico alias. With that out of the way, I think Krister will run wild against coach Kryzechfksrieyzhiesey's Blue Devils. (hey, if you can correct me and name the football coach at duke, by all means go ahead and do it)

Virginia Tech 44 Duke 9

Michigan -7 Notre Dame
I have absolutely no confidence in this pick. I didn't see the Mich/NIU game(damn you American Broadcasting Company!), but I sure as hell caught Charlie Weis making Dave Wannstedt his bitch. Everything I've read seems to point to Michigan playing poorly (to put it nicely) against the run, and Darius Walker ran for over a hundred yards & a couple of TD's last year against UofM in South Bend. Pittsburgh has no running game, so we need to see how ND can handle a back like Mike Hart who is always going forward, and Chad Henne, who showed last week it wasn't all Braylon Edwards behind his sensational freshman season. This game comes down to the Michigan defense, and Gabe Watson, Prescott Burgess, Ryan Mundy, and Grant Mason specifically. If these four guys can step up, ND will be hailing to the victors.

Michigan 31 Notre Dame 23

Arizona St. -1 LSU
While LSU is maybe the most talented team in the nation not named the Trojans, the devastation of hurricane Katrina may be looming large in the outcome of this ballgame. LSU having to move this game to the desert (where national title hopes go to die) is what does it for me. As unfair as it is, ASU will pick up the win here with their high-powered offense.

Arizona St. 20 LSU 17

Ohio St. -1 Texas
It all just seems too good for Texas. They finally will beat Oklahoma, but Ohio St. will send them into that game with one loss. As fast as Vince Young is, A.J Hawk, and Bobby Carpenter are speedy linebackers (and they're white, no less!) who will be able to contain him. The Schmuckeye's are so pumped for this game, I can't picture them losing. Also, look for Nate Salley to get at least one big hit in on Young, and for me to openly applaud a Buckeye.

Ohio St. 21 Texas 14

Upset Special (0-1)
Washington +9 California
The next Aaron Rodgers my ass! Ok, so maybe it's a tad early, but with Joseph Ayoob in for sidelined QB Nate Longshore, Cal's offense could be in trouble if Ayoob has another 0-10 start. I think Ayoob will start out bad (maybe not quite 0-10 bad) but with Marshawn Lynch, I don't see Cal losing this game, even though Washington will be pumped up, and keep it close with coach Ty Willingham looking to build himself, and his program up again.

California 31 Washington 24

Lock of the Week (0-1)
Georgia -18 South Carolina
Ok... So last week I was a little off with my Boise St. over Georgia pick, so to make up for it, I am picking Georgia to win it big baby! (*does Lee Corso impression and puts on Bulldog head*)

Georgia 40 South Carolina 17


So with that in mind, have fun watching some great games this weekend, and remember to get in touch with your bookie if need be. Untill next time, GO BLUE!

Thursday, September 08, 2005

3RD YEAR RECEIVERS


If you’ve played Fantasy Football for any length of time, then you’ve probably heard the fable about the 3rd year wide receivers. It’s probably true only half the time, which makes it as enduring as other urban legends, like rectal gerbils. It’s much harder to prove the 3rd year “break out” of wide receivers is false, because it actually is true in some instances. No hospital in the country has any data about patients coming in with a “hidden” gerbil… not to say there isn’t some very strange habits of late-night urban humans; as many a ER worker can testify.

Whether it’s true or not, here’s a list of some of this years most notable 3rd year wide receivers, some of them are already on everyone’s radar and probably not on your fantasy roster. However, there are a few guys that may not be any where near a roster yet and may have some break out potential this year.

AFC

Patriots – Bethel Johnson

The Patriots have made some changes to their receiving staff this year with the release of David Patten to the Redskins and the acquisitions of David Terrell from the Bears and just recently Andre Davis from the Browns. Branch and Givens have #1 and #2 fairly well sewn up. Before the addition of Davis, I would have given Johnson an excellent chance to make an impact in a few games. Terrell doesn’t have as much talent as Davis, or Johnson for that matter.

Jets – Jonathan Carter

If Pennington can stay healthy most of the year, and the passing game is more efficient and utilized, then I think there is room for Carter to be an important #3 or #4 receiver. Chrebet isn’t going to hold down that position forever and Cotchery is just one year away from being another 3rd receiver himself. This is Carter’s chance to prove himself. He had a few nice games last year, but nothing consistent even in this fickle world of high inconsistency.

Bengals – Kelly Washington

Now that Warrick is gone, this really is a good position for Washington to have some success this year. He’s had some hamstring problems going into this season, but hopefully they won’t be serious enough to hamper his playing time and production potential.

Jaguars – Cortez Hankton

He’s not a Reggie Williams type of receiver, has more of a TE build, but he could be utilized as an excellent slot receiver. Jacksonville hasn’t been a hotbed of receiver talent for fantasy football standards. Leftwich doesn’t seem comfortable passing downfield a lot, but his back up David Garrard seems to be a very good passer. Hankton’s outlook may improve if Byron gets injured again.

Texans – Andre Johnson & Derick Armstrong

AJ has been Houston’s #1 receiver for a few years now. But since everyone was expecting big things from him last year and they didn’t quite materialize, I’m thinking this year will be the year he actually lives up to the expectations. Armstrong is a talented #3 receiver who has the ability to emerge even with Gaffney and Bradford in the mix.

Titans – Tyrone Calico

Tyrone had a great first year, but then last year he was sidelined after the first game, which disappointed many fantasy owners. This year he’s healthy and Derrick Mason has moved on to the Ravens, which has opened up the #2 slot for Calico, behind Drew Bennett. This is a young offense though, except for McNair, and I don’t think it will be very balanced. That’s the downside of Calico, the up side is that if McNair gets injured and Billy Volek takes over QB again…. I can see the Titans relying heavily on their passing game.

Chargers – Kassim Osgood

With all the other receivers around not getting as much attention as they should, I don’t see any reason to think Kassim is going to get extra special treatment this year. However, Brees likes the check under routes that Gates runs and Osgood is a similar type of receiver. If Gates struggles early with defenses paying more attention to him than the post route boys, Osgood could be used effectively as a second check under with not as much attention.

Chiefs – Chris Horn

For all practical purposes this is only Horn’s second year since he didn’t play in a single game during his rookie year. I think he’ll be used this year just like he was last year… as a surprise weapon for only one game, maybe two. Samie Parker is only a second year receiver, but he is in a much better position to make an impact this year.

Raiders – Doug Gabriel

Doug had some good games before he got injured last year. Curry has been healthier and more of an impact, but last year was Curry’s 3rd year so he fit the bill and came through with an awesome year. I don’t think there’s any reason to think curry will lose ground to Gabriel this year. The only thing that may help Doug is an extended injury to Moss or Porter, which isn’t out of the question.

NFC

Eagles – Greg Lewis

I’m no big fan of Todd Pinkston or Freddie Mitchell… and my tolerance of TO’s personality scuffles is wearing thin, although I credit him for being a very good receiver. Anyway, I can see where Greg Lewis would be a nice upgrade from the other guys across from Owens. He’s on a very good offense and he has the skills they are lacking in their #2 receivers right now, which is mainly the physicality to get open and offer a second vertical threat. Smith working under coverage is also another fantasy player worth watching this year, but he’s a TE and that’s not what we’re discussing.

Giants – David Tyree

With the exodus of Hilliard and the arrival of Plaxico, the Giants passing game is going to be interesting to watch this year. There are expectations of greatness from their second year quarterback, but Eli doesn’t have the weapons to be that great…. yet. I don’t think there’s too much hope for a #3 receiver like Tyree to make a big enough impact to be fantasy worthy. But he was interesting enough to mention as a possible one game wonder for this year.

Redskins – Taylor Jacobs
I think at some point this season Gibbs will have to have some actual game playing time from his young players to see who’s worth keeping around. Not much hope for a successful #3 receiver when Ramsey isn’t a very prolific passer to begin with. Santana Moss is a very low rated #1 and Patten is also a low rated #2, the only receiver of any note that may have a breakout type of year this year is Chris Cooley, another TE.

Lions – Charles Rogers and David Kircus

Rogers has disappointed his owners twice now in just as many years with opening game season ending injuries. If anyone deserves to have a buttload of success, it’s this guy. He’s had more than his share of misfortune. But I think this season will also prove that some people just don’t have the body to play in the NFL, even though they are in shape and may even be very athletic. I would put Rogers in that category.

Kircus is so poor that he can’t even get his picture posted on the NFL player website, somebody get him a better contract so he can get a digital camera for Christ’s sakes! If Rogers gets injured again this year, then Williams (the rookie) and Kircus are going to have to pick up the slack. Swinton and Hakim aren’t around anymore.

Bears – Justin Gage and Bobby Wade

Gage is set to be the Bears #2 option, so whatever that’s worth, he could have a decent year. With the arrival of Muhammad and drafting of Mark Bradley, there hasn’t been much talk of Bobby Wade. Bobby didn’t have much impact last year, but he also didn’t have a decent QB to throw him the ball either. If Grossman stays healthy or the rookie Orton gets a chance to play, then Bears receivers could have a mildly better year.

Rams – Kevin Curtis and Shaun McDonald

Kevin Curtis is on most people’s sleeper list of receivers now especially after his showing this pre-season. Both he and McDonald had a few good games last year though, and I think it was against Seattle when the Rams came back from a fairly large deficit to win the game. But they only had a spare success… this year they are both in a position to be very successful. McDonald is still flying under most people’s radar, but he could be just as successful as Curtis this year.

Cardinals – Bryant Johnson and Anquan Boldin

Quick! Name another Cardinal receiver besides Boldin and Fitzgerald. -- Times up! This year with Kurt Warner at the helm, I think we will finally see a playoff contender arise out of the desert. Anquan is most definitely on someone’s roster, since he is Arizona’s #1 receiver. But you may be able to grab Bryant off the WW before everyone sees what kind of numbers this wide receiver corps is going to produce. Johnson is a very capable #3 receiver, but he didn’t have a veteran QB throwing him the ball last year, nor did the QB last year have an offensive line built to protect him and encourage the passing game.
49ers – Arnaz Battle and Brandon Lloyd

Lloyd has already had a decent year last year, so he’s known to the fantasy world, but Battle hasn’t been a household name. These two 3rd year receivers are the 49ers 1,2 punch. If Rattay is starting at QB, I wouldn’t expect much… and if the rookie Smith starts, I would expect less, at least at first. Both have an opportunity to make 600+ yards and 5 or 6 TD’s, which isn’t bad for your #3 or #4 fantasy receiver. That’s not what most people consider “break out” type production though.

Week 1 Predictions

New England 35 Oakland 20
NEW ENGLAND
Brady should have plenty of success passing the ball. Last year Oakland gave up 245 yards per outing and they really haven't shored up any problems with their secondary during the off-season. Dillon should also have a nice night. Look for Graham or Watson to get a score this week since the Raiders D is also happy to let those opposing TE's get in the end zone.

Brady 18/30 235 3td 1int
Dillon 115 2td
Branch 90 1td
Graham 40 1td

OAKLAND
Everyone is waiting with baited breath for the grand opening of Collins-Moss. Many think the Patriots D will suffer due to all the off-season personel changes and coaching changes. I don't think the run D will suffer but I am cautious about the pass D.

Collins 20/36 225 2td 2int
Jordan 90 0td
Moss 105 1td
Curry 656 1td

Washington 17 Chicago 13
WASHINGTON
This will be another scoreboard snoozer, so don't look for many td's and fantasy points here. Ramsey still doesn't have a line to protect him, so I doubt his new receivers will have much more success than the ones he had last year. Portis will also have a hard time, but out of all the fantasy players in this match up, he's the one must play option.

Ramsey 17/30 175 1td 1int
Portis 110 1td
Moss 75 1td

CHICAGO
Will Orton keep the starting job? Will Grossman star in the sequel to Unbreakable, along with Charles Rogers and Michael Bennett? Do the Bears have a decent passing game just waiting to be unveiled? Too many questions and not enough answers yet. I'm not impressed with the way Benson has handled his business affairs, and if that attitude is also in the locker room and playing field... the Bears may have wasted a #1 pick on another Ricky Williams. I'm sure he'll get a chance to prove himself, but I don't think he gets the goal line glory.

Orton 14/27 160 1td 2int
Gage 50 1td
Jones 60 1td
Muhammad 65 0td


Cincinnati 27 Cleveland 17
CINCINNATI
I like this match up for Palmer, I think he will have plenty of time to pick the Browns secondary apart, along with a little Rudi J mixed in for good measure. I expect big things from CJ this year and he should get off on the right foot this Sunday.

Palmer 23/35 230 2td 1int
CJohnson 115 2td
RJohnson 120 1td

CLEVELAND
The Browns have made a few changes in their offense this year with the leadership role going to Trent Dilfer, who has been carrying clipboards the past few seasons. Don't expect any miracles here folks, remember..... it's Cleveland.

Dilfer 15/24 170 1td 2int
Droughns 75 1td
Bryant 70 1td

Denver 31 Miami 13
DENVER
Bell or Anderson? Guess Anderson gets the start, but don't count Bell out of it completely. Look for Plummer to go up top on the Phin secondary often. Smith and Lelie will be his main 2 targets. Terrell and Watts are also in the mix as decent 3rd options. Also look for Alexander and Putzier to split TE duty, with alexander getting the call in run blocking situations.

Plummer 21/33 255 3td 1int
Anderson 75 1 td
Lelie 90 1td

MIAMI
The Gus Frerotte era has begun in Miami... don't blink you might miss it! Ronnie Brown will help the Phin run game, but they are still a leaderless ship without a clear #1 QB. Look for dismal offensive output once again, but it should be marginally better than last year.

Frerotte 16/30 185 0td 2int
Brown 85 1td
Chambers 85 0td

Buffalo 24 Houston 20
BUFFALO
Another new QB situation, which may not be too positive of a start for hopeful Evans owners. This is a good match up though, if Losman is up to the task the Texans secondary is very pourous. Definitely look for a lot of McGahee setting up the pass with his version of sacking York (being a battering ram).

Losman 14/24 165 1td 2int
McGahee 135 1td
Moulds 60 1td

HOUSTON
Carr and Johnson are starting their 3rd year together, so the honeymoon is over and people want to see results this year. They may be hard to come by with this match up, but I don't think AJ owners will be too disappointed. But look for Davis to rack up some decent receiving yards this week.

Carr 18/28 185 1td 1int
Davis 110 1td
AJohnson 80 1td

Carolina 24 New Orleans14
CAROLINA
Looks like Foster and Davis will split time on this one. Expect Davis to be the vertical runner and Foster to hit the outside perimeter. This combination could prove effective especially against a poor Saints run D. As luck would have it, they also have a fairly poor secondary, so Delhomme should have a nice afternoon this week too.

Delhomme 22/34 255 3td 1int
Davis 45 0td
Foster 65 0td
Smith 75 1td
Colbert 90 1td

NEW ORLEANS
The key to this one is Deuce McAllister vs The Panther Front Four. If Deuce wins, New Orleans could put more points on the board. Don't expect it to happen though. As a matter of fact, I think the Panthers will keep Big Mac out of the end zone all afternoon. Horn will be the best fantasy play here.

Brooks 24/38 220 2td 2int
McAllister 110 0td
Horn 130 1td

Kansas City 30 NYJets 24
KANSAS CITY
The Chiefs have a much better match up here for their ground game then they do for their passing game. Look for Holmes to have a big afternoon, with Johnson getting clean up duty in the second half. Green will also spend some time to see if any of his new talent receivers have playmaking potential that Morton never seemed to develop.

Green 28/39 265 2td 1int
Holmes 125 2td
Kennison 80 1td
Gonzalez 80 1td

NEW YORK
The Jets have the passing attack that will exploit a susceptible Chiefs secondary. But there's new faces on the Chiefs secondary this year, and a new receiver for Pennington (well, he's not really new, just new this year). Martin is a solid rusher, so the key to the Jets success will be Air Pennington.

Pennington 25/33 240 2td 1int
Martin 95 1td
Coles 100 1td


Seattle 24 Jacksonville 13
SEATTLE
Exit KoRo. Enter BobEng. Better hands! The Seattle passing game should be developing into an exciting offense, and Alexander is already a very stable known quantity that defenses have to respect.

Hasselbeck 23/36 210 1td 0int
Alexander 125 2td
Jackson 80 1td

JACKSONVILLE
Does Byron have any decent weapons to develop his passing game this year? We will see. Reggie Williams has to step up and the rookie Matt Jones has to make an impact as well. Then there's the 3rd year receiver Cortez Hankton that may surprise us this year, too. But Byron has to show us he can be consistent before this offense ever gets off the ground. Speaking of ground... Freddie's got that covered, barely. If he can stay healthy. If not, there's Toefield and Greg Jones... and it's a good bet that one or both could be decent TD vultures this year.

Leftwich 17/30 190 1td 0int
Taylor 75 0td
RWilliams 65 1td

Minnesota 28 Tampa Bay 21
MINNESOTA
Well, looks like the injury bug is still active in the Vikings backfield. Bennett is slated to start but will only see limited action. Moore, the #2 backup is also out, so Williams once again looks like he's going to have the job by default. C'Pepper has also got to figure out who his best receivers are, so expect him to spread the ball around alot.

Culpepper 25/38 235 3td 1int
Bennett 75 0td
Burleson 75 1td
Robinson 60 1td
Wiggins 15 1td

TAMPA BAY
The Bucs offensive line is a work-in-progress which may hamper the enthusiasm about their offensive weapon, Cadillac. Look for Griese to do a lot of passing this week, and with the improved Viking secondary, that could really spell trouble.

Griese 25/35 210 2td 2int
CWilliams 65 1td
Clayton 85 1td

Pittsburgh 28 Tennessee 10
PITTSBURGH
All eyes on Willie Parker! Luckily he faces a Titan defense that has been dwarfed of its former glory. Big Ben could have much success if he shows the same patience and maturity beyond his years that he showed last year. But don't expect big numbers from Ben, he's not that kind of QB.

Roethlisberger 15/23 180 2td 1int
Parker 115 1td
Ward 75 1td
Millr/Tuman 30 1td

TENNESSEE
The Steelers have a very strong run D, so don't look for any miracles out of Chris Brown this week. The only miracle will be him staying healthy. McNair will have to go up top with Bennett and Calico as his main targets, but the main concern here is the pass protection. Don't look for Kinney or Troupe to be involved in the receiving part of it, they will have their hands full making sure Steve doesn't eat more dirt than his old body can handle.

McNair 17/26 180 1td 1int
Brown 80 0td
Bennett 80 1td

Arizona 26 NYGiants 17
ARIZONA
Pass protection is going to play a key role here in this match up as well. The Cards will have to make sure Kurt stays healthy in order to have their hopes of a playoff berth this year realized. The Giants secondary could prove to be a bit more of a hinderance to the passing attack, so look for quick outs and play action. Arrington is a promising rookie running back and this is a good match up for him.

Warner 19/29 210 2td 1int
Arrington 95 1td
Boldin 75 1td

NEW YORK
Manning's health and ability to throw will be a concern for the Giants offense this week. The Cards have improved their defense drastically, but their run D still may prove soft. Look for a conservative game plan and lots of Barber/Jacobs.

Manning 14/28 175 1td 2int
Barber 135 0td
Jacobs 20 1td

San Diego 38 Dallas 20
SAN DIEGO
Depending on how well Osgood or Peelle can step up and fill Gates shoes, there may not be as much points on the scoreboard as I have predicted. Chargers should have no problem with the Dallas defense though. LT is surely going to have success. The concern is with Brees and his downfield receivers against the Dallas secondary.

Brees 22/34 230 3td 1int
Tomlinson 140 2td
Parker 75 1td
Peelle 30 1td

DALLAS
Bledsoe knows Parcells way of doing things, and now he has the maturity to be able to execute Parcells plans better. That's the idea anyway. We'll find out if that's true or not Sunday. The Chargers pass D was a strong unit last year and they are basically intact this year, with an extra year under their belt. Jones should have a decent day though.

Bledsoe 15/28 185 1td 2int
Jones 85 1td
Glenn 75 0td

Detroit 31 Green Bay 24
DETROIT
Harrington has a few new weapons to work with this year. One of them being a seasoned TE that may prove to be an excellent sleeper and this isn't too bad of a match up for him this week. Of course, I'm talking about Marcus Pollard. Mike Williams is the other option at receiver, making the Lions receiver combo a Williams affair with Roy on the other side.

Harrington 21/34 210 2td 0int
Jones 95 1td
RWilliams 80 1td
Pollard 55 1td

GREEN BAY
Favre is too seasoned for the improved Lions secondary to really give him any problems, but I think Driver will have a better afternoon than Walker. Green needs to hold onto the ball and should have success on the perimeter.

Favre 28/38 260 3td 1int
Green 110 0td
Walker 100 1td
Driver 65 2td

St Louis 34 San Francisco 16
ST LOUIS
Air Bulger is now boarding.... next destination San Francisco. Look for the Rams to see what kind of running game they have with Jackson too. Curtis has gotten much attention as a sleeper pick this year, and with a match up like this against the 49ers secondary, I would expect him and maybe even McDonald to get a little taste of the action.

Bulger 27/40 270 3td 0int
Jackson 75 1td
Holt 125 2td
Bruce 60 1td

SAN FRANCISCO
A lackluster offense last year, has actually gotten worse this year with the departure of Wilson, a seasoned veteran at the receiver position. Morton was brought in from KC, but it looks like Arnaz Battle and Brandon Lloyd will get the start. Don't look for much production here.

Rattay 20/34 200 0td 1int
Barlow 60 0td
Gore 40 1td
Lloyd 80 0td
Battle 60 0td

Indianapolis 27 Baltimore 17
INDIANAPOLIS
Manning has his crew from last year's record breaking season back for another round of fun and scoreboard mayhem. The question here is.... will the Ravens secondary be THAT much of a killjoy to ruin everyone's expectations. I think they will temper the fun, but not too bad.

Manning 24/35 230 3td 1int
James 95 1td
Harrison 115 1td

BALTIMORE
Simon vs Lewis will be a key here. If the Ravens can establish a ball control, clock-eating offense, they could win. The Colts have improved their defense recently and until Boller can prove that the Ravens have improved their passing attack.... it'll be 8 in the box.

Boller 17/32 160 1td 1int
Lewis 100 1td
Mason 65 0td
Heap 55 1td


Philadelphia 30 Atlanta 24
PHILADELPHIA
Great NFC Championship game rematch for the MNF opener. The question about the Philly offense, as usual.... is the running game. If Gordon can get a little action, that would take a big load off Westbrook. But the key here is how well TO and McNabb can attack the Falcons secondary. Look for a new name to be mentioned across from Owens.... Greg Lewis. He could be a surprise element to the Eagles success.

McNabb 26/34 235 3td 0int
Owens 120 2td
Westbrook 80 0td

ATLANTA
Don't look for much production out of the the Falcon WR's.... they don't have a QB who can get them the ball, and they also have an excellent Eagle secondary to thwart any efforts. The Falcons have a chance of winning if they can utilize Vick's scrambling abilities and their running game with Dunn and Duckett.

Vick 12/22 150 1td 1int Run (50 1td)
Dunn 75 1td
Crumpler 60 1td